Money and Investing
Friday, February 17, 2023
Having This Mindset Is Key To Success | David Goggins
Thursday, February 9, 2023
Sunday, January 29, 2023
Re: Crypto: The World’s Greatest Scam
And since this is largely unregulated, you are dependent upon the goodwill of many actors. We have already seen multiple frauds related to cryptocurrency.
Here I am questioning the value of blockchain, and maybe it does have a value on a technical level that I don't understand, as opposed to before where I was questioning the value of the assets like Bitcoin which I think have no intrinsic value.
I think that the title says it all.Forty years ago people thought that antiques were a profitable investment. It was driven by a high demand for antiques, so people started looking at antiques as an investment. This was based on the "bigger fool theory", which was that you would buy the item solely as an investment, possibly paying more than its intrinsic value, and you hoped that there was a bigger fool out there who would pay you more money for it. The problem is that somebody is left holding the bag when demand goes down. This is a characteristic of many financial bubbles, the first of which started with tulips. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tulip_maniaThe problem with crypto-anything is that it doesn't have an intrinsic value and the value is only driven by hype. As long as the hype continues, you can make money. But crypto doesn't have a use case that justifies its existence. Instead of being a useful alternate currency, it has turned into a get-rich-quick scheme.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ORdWE_ffirg
Tuesday, January 24, 2023
Crypto: The World’s Greatest Scam
Friday, January 20, 2023
Our Offer to Steven Crowder
Tuesday, December 20, 2022
Sunday, December 11, 2022
Saturday, December 10, 2022
Tuesday, December 6, 2022
Sunday, December 4, 2022
Is Tik Tok addictive?
Friday, December 2, 2022
Leverage Buyouts from Private Equity Firms
I don't have an opinion on this. Why should it be illegal to buy companies? Should it be illegal to take loans to buy companies? Should it be illegal to serve on the board of directors of a company that you bought?
Friday, November 4, 2022
Tuesday, November 1, 2022
No, the U.S. isn’t going to run out of diesel fuel in 25 days
Tucker Carlson: The US is about to run out of diesel fuel
This mean that truckers and trains cannot transport food and other commodities. The economy could collapse.
"That is not to say there will not occasionally be situations where there is a true physical lack of products," the company said. "Some cities might run dry on diesel for a few days, at least at the terminal level. But the fuel supply chain is dynamic, and suppliers will rally to fill in any gaps in supply."
Third, U.S. refinery capacity has fallen in the past few years as several unprofitable refineries were closed. So, that's a new factor that has appeared in the past couple of years.
But the primary reason is the cutoff of Russian imports. Prior to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the U.S. was importing nearly 700,000 barrels per day (BPD) of petroleum and petroleum products. Most of those imports were finished products and refinery inputs that boosted distillate supplies in the U.S.
The loss of those Russian imports has caused problems for refineries as they struggle to fill holes in their product slates. Refineries do have a small amount of flexibility in shifting gasoline production to diesel production. But it's a relatively small amount (e.g., ~5% in a refinery I once worked in). That also means that if refiners do shift production, it also potentially creates shortages in the gasoline market.
Some relief is on the way, as some diesel imports are on the way from Europe to the East Coast. But, the distillate market won't likely return to normal before next summer at the earliest.
Saturday, October 1, 2022
The WORST Housing Crash In 40 Years JUST BEGAN
Friday, September 16, 2022
Monday, August 29, 2022
Thursday, August 18, 2022
What is modern monetary theory? | John Hancock Investment Mgt
Money is not wealth. It is a placeholder for wealth. If you create more of it, then by definition each unit of money is worth less, unless somehow you created an equivalent amount of wealth.
I am a bit worried about the 40% increase in the money supply that happened over the last two calendar years and what this means for my retirement.
So increasing the money supply can be a form of theft. It is transferring value to those people who receive the new currency at the expense of the people holding the existing currency.
If we count precious metals as a form of wealth, then having a backed currency would make money a form of wealth.
Wednesday, August 10, 2022
Tuesday, August 9, 2022
China and EV batteries
The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, which passed the Senate this weekend in a party-line vote, would require batteries to have at least 40 percent of materials sourced from North America or a US trading partner by 2024 in order to be eligible for a $7,500 tax break. By 2029, battery components would have to be 100 percent made in North America.
Batteries that contain minerals that "were extracted, processed, or recycled by a foreign entity of concern," which is defined as a state sponsoring terrorism or countries blocked by the Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control, would be ineligible for the credit. China is listed as a "foreign entity of concern" by the federal government.
Democrats, including West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin, who negotiated the deal in secret with Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, are running on a tough-on-China message this year. But the auto industry says that the new requirements would basically disqualify every EV on the market today.
According to the Alliance for Automotive Innovation, the auto industry's main lobbying group, there are currently 72 EV models available for purchase in the United States, including battery, plug-in hybrid, and fuel cell electric vehicles. Of those models, 70 percent are ineligible for the tax credit when the bill passes. And by 2029, when the additional sourcing requirements go into effect, none would qualify for the full credit.
No electric vehicles on the market today qualify for the new EV tax credit - The Verge
Saturday, August 6, 2022
Inflation: Last Week Tonight with John Oliver
Sunday, June 26, 2022
Friday, June 10, 2022
Warrent Buffet interesting take on investing
Saturday, May 28, 2022
Ending climate change requires the end of capitalism. Have we got the stomach for it?
The criticism feels ridiculous. Partly because the GND is far from truly radical and already represents a compromise solution, but mainly because the radical economics isn't a hidden clause, but a headline feature. Climate change is the result of our current economic and industrial system. GND-style proposals marry sweeping environmental policy changes with broader socialist reforms because the level of disruption required to keep us at a temperature anywhere below "absolutely catastrophic" is fundamentally, on a deep structural level, incompatible with the status quo.
Right now we can, with a massive investment of effort by 2030, just about keep the warming level below 1.5C. This is "bad, but manageable" territory. Failing to put that effort in sees the world crossing more severe temperature barriers that would lead to outcomes like ecosystem collapse, ocean acidification, mass desertification, and coastal cities being flooded into inhabitability.
We will simply have to throw the kitchen sink at this. Policy tweaks such as a carbon tax won't do it. We need to fundamentally re-evaluate our relationship to ownership, work and capital."